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Previewing RBA and BoC – Canada my again surprise hawkishly

Posted on September 4th, 2017

RBA may upgrade investment outlook The RBA policy statement later today probably cannot introduce any new dovish elements; as such it should not have much of a weakening influence on the AUD. The RBA could sound more upbeat on investment, and this may provide the AUD some support.  The tone of the surrounding data this […]

Bought AUD/NZD, and quick thoughts from the lounge

Posted on August 30th, 2017

Real Time AmpGFX – bought AUD/NZD (Wed 8/30/2017 8:09 PM MDT) I bought one unit of AUD/NZD at 1.1005; s/l 1.0923 Between flights, strong capex data and sold China PMI, iron ore firmer Real Time AmpGFX – quick thoughts from the lounge (Wednesday, 30 August 2017 6:37 AM MDT) I have been delayed getting back […]

Short NZD/USD trade 20 to 25 August

Posted on August 25th, 2017

Real Time AmpGFX – closed NZD/USD short (Fri 8/25/2017 8:28 AM MDT) Bought one unit NZD/USD at 0.7244 to close short position, no positions current. The JH speech by Yellen has no implications for policy speaking mainly of safe guards and regulation since the GFC on banks. I am not confident that the USD will […]

AUD/NZD update

Posted on August 16th, 2017

Hi, I am travelling this week and next, conducting marketing for my business in New York, Boston (Today) and London next week.  Hence my lack of written work so far this week. Unfortunately for me, my last stop/loss in AUD/NZD was triggered on Tuesday, near the low, it seems around the time that the RBA […]

Trading and comments in AUD/NZD from 9-Aug to 10-Aug; includes comments on the RBNZ MPS

Posted on August 10th, 2017

  Real time AmpGFX – raising AUD/NZD orders, one close to market; Thu 8/10/2017 10:30 AM Positions Long 0.5 units AUD/NZD at 1.0724; s/l 1.0813; t/p 1.1223 Long 1 unit AUD/NZD at 1.0724; s/l 1.0763; t/p 1.1223 Note we were stopped out of our long USD/JPY position earlier today (Friday). Real time AmpGFX – Still long […]

View Update – AUD surveys not impressive, RBNZ two-way risk, NZ politics still a NZD negative, corrective equity markets weight on USD/JPY

Posted on August 9th, 2017

See PDF version attached at bottom of this briefing for charts) Positions Long 1.5 units AUD/NZD at 1.0724; s/l 1.0713; t/p 1.1223 Long 0.5 unit USD/JPY at 110.42; s/l 109.33; 114.22 Note: 1 unit of long AUD/NZD was closed on stop (in profit) on Wednesday   Monthly consumer confidence in Australia remained subdued (See pdf […]

Trading and Comments in AUD/NZD from 7 Aug to 9 Aug. 

Posted on August 9th, 2017

In Reverse chronological order. Real Time AmpGFX – order update, moving some close to market; Tue 8/8/2017 8:50 AM MST Positions Long 1 unit AUD/NZD at 1.0724; s/l 1.0763; t/p 1.1223 Long 1.5 units AUD/NZD at 1.0724; s/l 1.0713; t/p 1.1223 Real Time AmpGFX – bought AUD/NZD adding to long; Mon 8/7/2017 4:15 PM MST I […]

Real Time AmpGFX – bought USD/JPY

Posted on August 8th, 2017

Bought half unit of USD/JPY at 110.42 Comment US 10 year yields are starting to look like they may be turning up with some improvement in US economic reports.  Including small business confidence and job opening s data today, US labor report on Friday, US trade data on Friday. Higher commodity prices may also support […]

Long EUR/NZD trade from 28-Jul to 4-Aug

Posted on August 4th, 2017

The following is comments that relate to our long EUR/NZD trade from 28-July to 4 August.  The initial comment on the trade is at the bottom, from there the s/l was raised until the trade was closed on stop, but in profit Real Time AmpGFX – preview of Aust data and NZ MPS Positions Long […]

preview of Aust data and NZ MPS

Posted on August 4th, 2017

(for full document with charts download pdf at the end of this briefing) Positions Long 1.5 units AUD/NZD at 1.0711; s/l 1.0647; t/p 1.1223 Note that we were stopped out [in profit] of the long EUR/NZD position on Friday,   Deterioration in NZ economic performance New Zealand economic surprise index has fallen sharply from a […]