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Short NZD trade and comment 12 June

Posted on June 12th, 2017

Mon 6/12/2017 4:15 PM MDT Real Time AmpGFX – NZD comment We sold NZD today because it appears to be close to a key resistance after a strong rally in the last month. It appears to have a closer relationship with US yields this year, and the rebound in NZD reflects the fall in US […]

Long EUR/USD after Macron Parliamentary first round win 11-12 june

Posted on June 12th, 2017

Mon 6/12/2017 11:14 AM Real Time AmpGFX – closed long EUR/USD, comment Sold half unit EUR/USD at 1.1200 EUR has traded poorly in the wake of the French/Italian election developments; I was looking for a more immediate positive reaction. EUR is trading in a more correlated fashion with equities and investor risk appetite than is […]

UK exit poll looks bad for GBP

Posted on June 8th, 2017

Thu 6/8/2017 5:55 PM MDT AmpGFX Real Time – UK exit poll looks bad for GBP I am not going to trade it, since I can’t sit here tonight and watch the results. But on the exit poll numbers, that have been reasonably accurate in past elections, not only does it look like a hung […]

Short AUD trade and comment

Posted on June 7th, 2017

Wed 6/7/2017 4:24 PM MDT Real Time AmpGFX – Comment on AUD short Our USD/JPY short position was closed on stop with a modest profit.  US yields have bounced of tech support. Comey’s statement he plans to deliver tomorrow has been released, so there is less chance of a surprise. The AUD has bounced significantly […]

Short USD/JPY trade and comments 5-6 June

Posted on June 6th, 2017

Tue 6/6/2017 12:54 PM MDT Real Time AmpGFX – lowering USD/JPY s/l Position Short half unit USD/JPY at 110.10; s/l 109.83; t/p 105.58 Comment Keeping risk in this trade relatively tight.  We are not dogmatic on the outlook for the USD, we see political risk, but US economic data is still consistent with rising US […]

Closed all positions, fearing weaker USD will dominate

Posted on June 5th, 2017

Mon 6/5/2017 10:25 AM Real Time AmpGFX – closed all positions,  fearing weaker USD will dominate I am turning more bearish USD due to the poisoning political atmosphere in the USA at the continued poor performance on Trump.  It may not be the time to sell the USD just ahead of the Fed meeting next […]

EUR/CAD and post payrolls comment, EUR/CAD s/l raised

Posted on June 2nd, 2017

Fri 6/2/2017 9:28 AM Real Time AmpGFX – EUR/CAD and post payrolls comment, EUR/CAD s/l raised I bought EUR/CAD on Thursday after the oil price started to fall late in the US day following the initial rally on US inventory data.  A Russian oil minister said that Russia could live with $40 and Trump was […]

Trades and comments 25 May – 1 June 2017

Posted on June 1st, 2017

  Below is a log trades and comments from 25 May to 1  June 2017, in newest to oldest (reverse chronological order).    Thu 6/1/2017 1:56 PM Real Time AmpGFX – Bought half unit EUR/CAD Bought half unit EUR/CAD at 1.5156; s/l 1.5073   Positions    Short AUD/USD half unit  Long EUR/CAD half unit    Will […]

Bought EUR/USD half unit at 1.1087

Posted on May 16th, 2017

Bought EUR/USD half unit at 1.1087   Positions Short one unit NZD/USD at 0.6833; s/l 0.6928 Long half unit EUR/USD at 1.1087; s/l 1.0963; t/p 1.1355   Comment Conscious of digging myself into a hole this year on trading,  I have taken only a half position size (after already recalibrating my position size recently).  This […]

Review of US data, global market trends, consideration of data next week

Posted on May 12th, 2017

See attached PDF doc for charts on US data and global market trends. Retail sales total rising at a slow 0.1%m/m pace in the last three months, weak autos component, down from a strong 0.5%m/m-3mma in Q4 last year. Up a moderate 4.5%y/y. Ex-autos and gas, rising at a moderate 0.3%m/m pace. Up a moderate […]