Long AUD/NZD (From 5-Apr to 6-Apr) Comment on trade rhetoric
Stopped out on 6-Apr, after raising stop loss to near entry level Real-Time AmpGFX – raised s/l on AUD/NZD, comment on trade rhetoric (Fri 4/6/2018 7:45 AM MT) The trade war news escalated today. AUD/NZD has appeared to be undermined in the trade war developments over recent weeks. So the news today is a risk […]
Short EUR/USD (From 3-Apr to 6-Apr)
AmpGFX – bought to close EUR/USD short (Fri 4/6/2018 6:37 AM MT) Bought half unit at 1.2248 To close short position After the payrolls report was net weaker than expected. I may look to enter again, but the trading pattern is still largely sideways and choppy in EUR/USD and prefer to be more cautious at […]
Short EUR vs. USD & JPY (20-Mar to 22-Mar); FOMC comment
stopped out of EUR/USD in post FOMC spike 21/22 Mar Real-Time AmpGFX – Orders and thoughts post FOMC (Wed 3/21/2018 2:12 PM MT) See my Quick Take on the FOMC sent via a separate email and link below. https://ampgfxcapital.com/reports/fomc-quicktake-upgrade-forecasts-sets-suck-see-tone/ The FOMC forecasts, I thought, should have supported the USD, so its fall is surprising. But […]
Short EUR/JPY (from 14-Mar to 20-Mar)
Stopped out on 20-Mar Real-Time AmpGFX – lowered EUR/JPY stop loss, trading thoughts (Thu 3/15/2018 3:00 PM MT) FX markets remain hard to call. The USD is broadly stronger today, with bigger losses in commodity currencies. EM currencies are also weaker. However, it is hard to say why the sudden dollar strength. I find it […]
Short EUR/USD (From 16-Mar to 19-Mar)
Real-Time AmpGFX – bought EUR to close short (Sun 3/18/2018 12:28 PM MT) Bought half unit EUR/USD at 1.2298 to close short position. As discussed below, political risk may send USD lower to start the week. As such I have closed the short EUR/USD position established on Friday. The weekend polls in Japan confirm some […]
US Political Turmoil over the Weekend a Risk for the USD
Real-Time AmpGFX – US Political Turmoil over the Weekend a Risk for the USD (Sun 3/18/2018 10:38 AM) Developments in recent days point to a new wave of US political uncertainty that risks sending the USD lower. The firing of McCabe on the eve of his retirement appears aimed at discrediting the basis for the […]
Short 10-yr US T-Bond Futures (From 1-Mar to 13-Mar)
Real-Time AmpGFX – closed EUR and TYM8 (all) positions (Tue 3/13/2018 10:06 AM) I bought one-third unit on TYM8 at 120-10 I bought half-unit EUR/USD at 1.2399 Comment The CPI data show some deceleration in several core underlying measures, (trimmed mean, weighted median, Core Sticky). The special election tonight could significantly weaken the USD if […]
Short EUR/USD (from 12-Mar to 13-Mar)
Real-Time AmpGFX – closed EUR and TYM8 (all) positions (Tue 3/13/2018 10:06 AM MT) I bought one-third unit on TYM8 at 120-10 I bought half-unit EUR/USD at 1.2399 Comment The CPI data show some deceleration in several core underlying measures, (trimmed mean, weighted median, Core Sticky). The special election tonight could significantly weaken the USD […]
Long Gold/AUD (From 1-Mar to 7-Mar) – Comment on US tariffs
Stopped out on 7-Mar Real-Time AmpGFX – Bought Gold/AUD (Tue 3/6/2018 5:50 PM MT) Bought half unit Gold/AUD at 1720.02 Comment We were stopped out of short AUD and EUR positions on Tuesday, reflecting a rebound in risk assets as N.Korea made overtures towards denuclearization, and the market appeared to think that Trump may back-pedal […]
Short EUR/USD (From 5-Mar to 6-Mar)
Stopped out on 6 Mar Real-Time AmpGFX – Sold EUR/USD (Mon 3/5/2018 9:57 AM MT) Sold half unit EUR/USD at 1.2334 Comment EUR has bounced significantly since the US announced tariffs. However, the tariffs pose risks to European steel producers and point to more aggressive USA trade policy that poses risk to European exporters. Recent […]